Pro Tips
Basics
How Trump News Impacts Forex and Crypto Markets
Apr 6, 2025
The world seems divided on many issues, and this division is evident in Trump's presidency. Every supporter appears to have a corresponding critic. The effects of Trump's policies will also be felt long after he leaves office—especially if he returns to the White House in 2025. Trump news covering the tariffs imposed during his presidency continues to make headlines, as many economists and politicians warn of a looming recession.
Staying abreast of the latest developments is crucial for businesses and investors to prepare for what’s next. This guide will help you understand how to use an AI-powered economic calendar to track changes in Trump news and better prepare for the effects of Trump’s tariffs 2025.
An AI-powered economic calendar can help you stay organized and focused on the most relevant upcoming events and reports that may signal changes in the Trump news you’re following. Unlike a traditional economic calendar, the tool from GoMoon uses artificial intelligence to deliver personalized results, so you can quickly find the information that matters to you.
Table of Content
How Trump Headlines Move Forex and Crypto Markets
From Statement to Spike: The Market Reaction Chain
Trump news moves markets through a predictable yet fast-moving pipeline: Trump makes a public statement (interview, X post, speech, executive order). Newswires, AI feeds, and social media pick it up instantly. Market algorithms analyze the tone and topic, identifying if it's about monetary policy, trade, or regulation.
Market makers reprice risk, affecting interest rate expectations, USD demand, and global risk appetite. Human and algorithmic traders reposition portfolios, causing immediate movement in forex pairs, crypto prices, and equities. Even before policy details are confirmed, the market prices are based on the expectations, and that's where traders must move early and decisively.
Real-World Examples of Trump’s 2025 News Driving the Market
1. April 2025 Tariff Declaration
Trump’s administration announced a 10% baseline tariff on all imported goods, plus reciprocal tariffs as high as 46% on countries like Vietnam and 54% on China. Immediate market reaction: USD/CNH surged, as traders expected a decline in Chinese export volume. EUR/USD dropped on fears of an EU–U.S. trade clash. BTC rallied briefly as investors interpreted the chaos as a sign of potential de-dollarization.
2. Deportation Raids and Immigration Crackdowns
Trump's recent policies include mass deportations and National Guard mobilization, which affect labor-heavy sectors (e.g., agriculture, hospitality, and trucking). Markets are reacting because: Traders are pricing in supply chain bottlenecks and labor shortages.
Expectations of inflation are rising, especially in food and services. Currency impact: USD/MXN spikes as remittance expectations fall and fear spreads through Mexican markets. USD strengthens overall on perceptions of assertive U.S. domestic control—until fears of instability kick in.
3. Crypto Market Regulation Threats
Trump has renewed calls for federal control over crypto, stating, "Bitcoin must be brought under U.S. monetary law.” In response, BTC and ETH saw sharp corrections, followed by inflows into USDT and USDC. Regulatory uncertainty also pulled DeFi tokens and exchanges lower.
Why Forex Is Especially Sensitive to Trump’s News
Forex traders know that currencies don’t move just on interest rates—they move on perception, policy signals, and power shifts. Trump has shown he can affect all three.
Here’s how different types of headlines affect currency pairs
Tariffs → USD strengthens if viewed as assertive; weakens if it triggers recession fears.
Immigration crackdowns → USD strengthens initially, then weakens if inflation or supply chain pressures are priced in.
Fed pressure → USD weakens, especially if Trump pushes for rate cuts or criticizes monetary tightening.
Geopolitical threats → Safe havens like JPY and CHF strengthen as global risk rises.
Specific pairs that react sharply
USD/CNH – the first to move when Trump talks China.
USD/JPY – often acts as a global fear gauge.
USD/MXN – reacts to every immigration or NAFTA-related statement.
EUR/USD – moves when Trump targets the EU’s trade practices.
Why Crypto Markets React Even Faster
Unlike forex, crypto is 24/7, globally accessible, and sentiment-driven. This makes it more reactive to Trump’s tone—even if his statements are just political posturing.
Key dynamics
When Trump criticizes fiat money or central banks, BTC often rallies as a “freedom” alternative.
When Trump pushes for crypto regulation, BTC, ETH, and altcoins suffer short-term corrections.
Stablecoins spike in demand during Trump-induced uncertainty (especially USDT and USDC).
For example, during his April 2025 speech warning of “total oversight of digital assets,” BTC dropped over 5% in under an hour, while GoMoon.ai registered a 9/10 AI impact score for the crypto sector.
Role of Sentiment and Narrative
With Trump, it’s not just what he says—it’s how he says it. His aggressive tone accelerates price reactions. His unpredictability increases volatility premiums. His control of both narrative and policy makes his words even more potent than they were during his first term. Market participants don’t wait for confirmation—they price in the tone.
Related Reading
• Tariffs
• Trump Tax Plan 2025
• Trump Taxes
• Trump Tariffs Canada
Most Sensitive Trading Pairs and Assets to Watch During Trump News
The Forex Market’s Most Sensitive Pairs to Trump News
Trump's policies shake up the global economy, which impacts forex. The most reactive pairs reflect the U.S. dollar's relationship with other economies and their sensitivity to changing macroeconomic themes, especially those directly involving the U.S. and its trade partners. Here are the pairs most affected by Trump’s trade war announcements and the rhetoric leading up to them.
USD/CNH: The Main Battleground
The USD/CNH currency pair is the primary battleground for U.S.-China economic policy. Trump's 2025 tariff expansion directly targets China, and any trade or tech-related tension reflects instantly in this pair. Tariff hikes or anti-China rhetoric weaken CNH, causing USD/CNH to spike. Trade optimism produces the opposite effect.
Recent example: When Trump raised tariffs to 54% on Chinese goods in April 2025, USD/CNH surged past 7.45—its highest in over two years—before retracing once negotiations were hinted.
USD/MXN: Immigration Ties
Trump's immigration and deportation policy and his pressure on trade relationships like USMCA directly impact currency. News of National Guard mobilization weakens MXN, causing USD/MXN to spike. NAFTA supply chain risks trigger trader hedging of MXN exposure.
Recent example: After Trump announced mass deportations and threats to acceptable sanctuary cities, USD/MXN jumped over 2% in one session due to capital flight from peso-denominated assets.
USD/JPY: The Safe Haven Play
JPY is a global safe-haven currency. When Trump triggers risk-off sentiment—like talking war, conflict, or economic crisis—USD/JPY is one of the first to reverse. In this scenario, Trump spooks markets, causing JPY to strengthen and USD/JPY to fall. Pro-growth or pro-market comments from Trump create risk-on sentiment, causing a reversal in the opposite direction.
How to trade it: Use GoMoon.ai to track AI sentiment. If risk-off signals are high, look for USD/JPY retracements into prior support for entry.
EUR/USD: The EU Connection
The EU is a recurring target in Trump's trade policy, especially for automobiles and tech. His comments often question NATO spending and economic fairness. Tariff threats against the EU cause EUR/USD to drop. Conversely, Fed pressure (rate cut demand) weakens the USD and causes an EUR/USD rally.
Recent example: Trump’s April 2025 comment about “punishing the EU’s one-sided digital tax regime” led to a fast 80-pip drop in EUR/USD as traders braced for retaliation.
Crypto Assets That React Strongly to Trump News
The crypto market is a real-time, sentiment-driven market. Because there’s no closing bell, it reacts faster than traditional assets when headlines break. Here are the crypto assets that move most sharply to Trump news.
BTC/USD: The Macro Asset
Bitcoin responds to macroeconomic events and changes in U.S. monetary policy more than any other crypto. BTC rallies when the Fed signals an easing of economic policy and drops when the central bank tightens or hints at future rate hikes. Trump’s anti-Fed or anti-fiat rhetoric tends to boost BTC prices as traders see the asset as a potential hedge against an unstable U.S. dollar and traditional banking system.
Recent example: Trump’s March 2025 statement: “Bitcoin is a national security threat if not brought under U.S. financial law” led to a 5.4% selloff in under 90 minutes.
ETH/USD: The Regulation Sensitivity
Ethereum often moves more sharply than Bitcoin in response to regulatory news due to its exposure to astute contract scrutiny, SEC/CFPB overlap, and stablecoin integrations on Ethereum-based platforms.
Market Behavior: Positive macro tone → ETH pumps with BTC. Regulation risks → ETH dumps faster than BTC.
Stablecoins: The Safety Net
During Trump-related uncertainty, crypto traders exit volatile positions into stablecoins, increasing demand and occasionally causing peg dislocations or liquidity crunches. Use GoMoon.ai to spot capital flight signals—watch for spikes in stablecoin volume on significant exchanges after significant news breaks.
Other Assets to Watch in the Trump Markets
Trump headlines impact more than just forex and crypto. Here are a few other asset classes traders should watch for volatility in response to Trump’s incoming news.
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
The DXY index measures the strength of the USD against a basket of currencies. Broad USD strength or weakness tied to Trump’s influence on Fed expectations and trade policy will directly impact the index.
Gold (XAU/USD)
Gold moves as a fear hedge—spiking when Trump triggers global risk (e.g., military rhetoric, sanctions).
Volatility Index (VIX)
Trump headlines often cause short-term spikes in volatility, especially when they surprise investors or suggest geopolitical risk.
How GoMoon.ai Enhances Asset Selection in Trump Environments
GoMoon.ai gives traders a clear edge in determining which assets are “in play” by auto-tagging Trump-related macro events and showing which asset classes are likely to respond. The platform offers AI impact scores per instrument (e.g., BTC, USD/CNH, EUR/USD) so traders can quickly assess which markets could see significant moves.
GoMoon.ai even lets you replay past events—e.g., how USD/MXN reacted after 2020 immigration crackdowns vs. 2025 ones—to help you spot any differences in this cycle. This saves time, reduces guesswork, and enables faster, more confident trade entries.
Related Reading
How to Track Trump News Before It Hits the Market
GoMoon.ai: Your Command Center for Trump Tariff Trading
Trump news doesn’t arrive on a schedule — it often drops suddenly and causes immediate market reactions. Traders must be set up with the right tools to catch these developments before or as they go live. GoMoon.ai is designed for this exact situation — tracking macroeconomic events with AI-enhanced impact detection. When it comes to Trump-related volatility, GoMoon offers three essential functions:
Set Custom Alerts for Trump-Linked Keywords
You can create a personalized stream of alerts inside GoMoon.ai, specifically targeting Trump-related market catalysts.
Keywords to track
Trump
Tariff / Tariffs
China
Deportation
Immigration policy
Crypto regulation
Federal Reserve
USD devaluation or Dollar policy
These terms trigger alerts when
Trump issues a new press statement
Media or official government sources cite Trump’s upcoming actions
Unscheduled policy shifts or bills are introduced
Track AI-Rated Impact Levels
Each event flagged by GoMoon is scored with a 1–10 “AI Market Impact Rating”. This score tells you how likely the event is to:
Move specific currency pairs like USD/CNH, EUR/USD, or USD/JPY
Trigger volatility in BTC, ETH, USDT, or other crypto assets
Shift overall market sentiment from risk-on to risk-off (or vice versa)
Example
Let’s say Trump announces a 34% reciprocal tariff against China. GoMoon instantly pushes:
Impact Score: 9/10
Impacted Assets: USD/CNH, BTC/USD, Gold, VIX
This tells you: Get ready—a significant move will happen.
Replay Similar Trump-Driven Events
This feature helps you
Pull up historical Trump events (e.g., 2018 tariff hikes, 2019 Fed tweets, 2020 BTC criticism)
See what markets did in the hours and days that followed
Identify repeatable patterns (e.g., initial USD spike → retracement → follow-through)
With this info, you can enter trades with context instead of emotion.
Step-by-Step Setup Instructions for Maximum Coverage
To fully automate your market awareness, follow this guide:
1. Inside GoMoon.ai – Event Monitoring Setup
Go to your custom calendar settings. Add filters for:
“Trump”
“China”
“Tariff”
“USD policy”
“Crypto regulation”
“Federal Reserve”
Turn on event reminders 10–15 minutes before key press conferences or known speaking engagements. Enable auto-alerts for market-moving keywords tied to your favorite pairs or coins (e.g., USD/CNH, BTC/USD). This ensures you receive alerts within seconds of impact, with the option to drill into sentiment scoring and charts.
2. Sync Calendar with Your Trading Sessions
Make sure the GoMoon calendar is aligned with your:
Daily trading hours
High-impact sessions (e.g., London open, New York open, Asia open)
For example, If Trump tends to tweet during U.S. morning hours, set more aggressive alerts from 12 PM to 3 PM UTC. Add coverage during U.S. press briefings (2 PM – 4 PM EST), when many economic announcements are made. This guarantees you’re never caught off guard, even if Trump news hits outside of scheduled events.
3. Pair Alerts with Sentiment Scores
Once an alert fires, check the real-time sentiment trajectory inside GoMoon:
Is the news hawkish or dovish?
Is it being received as pro-dollar or anti-dollar?
Are crypto traders viewing it as bullish or a threat?
The sentiment engine analyzes:
Market response velocity
Volume patterns
Language tone and structure
That way, you’re not just reacting but interpreting and executing confidently.
Supplementary Tools (If You Want Full Coverage)
In addition to GoMoon.ai, you can create a real-time backup system:
1. Twitter/X Alerts via TweetDeck
Create custom columns filtered by:
@realDonaldTrump (if reactivated)
Hashtags: #Trump, #Tariffs, #CryptoBan, #TrumpNews, #TrumpSpeech
Keywords: immigration, USMCA, Fed, Bitcoin
Use platforms like: TweetDeck for free real-time streams Twitter Advanced Search to narrow by date or topic Tools like Hootsuite or X Pro if you want multiple dashboards.
2. News Aggregators
Sites that typically break Trump-related news early:
ZeroHedge – often first with political and financial reaction.
Reuters & Bloomberg Terminal – institutional-grade alerts.
Investing.com / Forexlive / FXStreet – suitable for retail-level summaries.
Tip: You can pair GoMoon.ai alerts with Bloomberg/Reuters headlines to validate whether a high-impact statement has legs—or is just noise.
What the GoMoon Platform Does
GoMoon transforms economic calendar data with AI-powered insights for smarter trading decisions. Our platform analyzes global events and rates their market impact on a scale of 1-10, helping you understand how they'll affect various assets. We've packed everything traders need: Live economic event streaming, custom notifications, and historical event replay with TradingView charts. What sets us apart is our comprehensive approach to event analysis.
Whether you're tracking the impact of major economic announcements or comparing forecast data with actual outcomes, GoMoon provides clear, actionable insights. You can personalize your calendar, stream live meetings directly on the platform, and analyze historical events like the dot-com bubble or COVID-19 crash to understand market reactions better. GoMoon clarifies the complex world of economic events for traders seeking data-driven decisions. Get started for free to get AI-powered economic insights today.
Use Our AI-powered Economic Calendar Tool for Free Today
GoMoon transforms economic calendar data with AI-powered insights for smarter trading decisions. Our platform analyzes global events and rates their market impact on a scale of 1-10, helping you understand how they'll affect various assets. We've packed everything traders need: Live economic event streaming, custom notifications, and historical event replay with TradingView charts. What sets us apart is our comprehensive approach to event analysis.
Whether you're tracking the impact of major economic announcements or comparing forecast data with actual outcomes, GoMoon provides clear, actionable insights. You can personalize your calendar, stream live meetings directly on the platform, and analyze historical events like the dot-com bubble or COVID-19 crash to understand market reactions better. GoMoon clarifies the complex world of economic events for traders seeking data-driven decisions. Get started for free to get AI-powered economic insights today.
Trump Taffs: The Basics
In early 2018, President Trump imposed tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, claiming that the measures were necessary to protect U.S. national security. Since then, he has expanded these tariffs to include thousands of Chinese products and threatened new tariffs on other countries and products as part of his trade war with China. As a result of the Trump tariffs, U.S. businesses and consumers have suffered billions of dollars in losses.
At the same time, the gains for the domestic steel and aluminum industries have been minimal. Many products now subject to tariffs are inputs used by manufacturers that create finished goods. The longer the tariffs remain, the more economic damage will be done.
The Impact of Trump Tariffs on Financial Markets
Trump tariffs create uncertainty in the financial markets. When new tariffs are announced, or even the threat of new tariffs, stock prices for companies in affected sectors can drop significantly. For example, when Trump announced his intention to impose tariffs on imported steel and aluminum in June 2018, the stock price of U.S. Steel Corp.
(X) dropped 7.5% on the day of the announcement. Even worse, the drop in stock price reflected broader investor concerns about the potential for a recession resulting from a trade war. GoMoon’s platform can help traders make sense of the market volatility caused by tariffs and other economic events.
The Future of Trump Tariffs
The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration are still in place as of February 2022, despite the change in presidents. President Biden has said little about the tariffs in public and has kept many of them intact. Depending on how upcoming negotiations between the U.S. and China unfold, the tariffs could remain in place for the foreseeable future. The tariffs' uncertainty will likely affect financial markets, especially for industries heavily reliant on global trade.
Related Reading
Canada Tariffs On US Goods
What Countries Have Tariffs Against The United States
Colombia Tariffs
Steel Tariffs